Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.217970 0.305232 0.403431 0.519737 0.651636 0.794791 0.960252
2025-06-29 0.095819 0.198248 0.333382 0.511520 0.730088 0.981708 1.286438
2025-07-06 0.054717 0.160874 0.319138 0.542247 0.828079 1.166961 1.586388
2025-07-13 0.031614 0.138038 0.316515 0.582342 0.934116 1.359964 1.894895
2025-07-20 0.016615 0.118967 0.312954 0.616416 1.028930 1.536650 2.181762
2025-07-27 0.010323 0.114297 0.329626 0.677174 1.157337 1.754068 2.517264
2025-08-03 0.004513 0.103197 0.332590 0.716485 1.256460 1.934575 2.807924
2025-08-10 0.000430 0.083106 0.314850 0.722455 1.309280 2.056008 3.026067
2025-08-17 NaN 0.052411 0.266959 0.676844 1.288301 2.081557 3.124878
2025-08-24 NaN 0.028168 0.219751 0.625189 1.254201 2.086929 3.196042
2025-08-31 NaN 0.016418 0.195295 0.607251 1.265156 2.148674 3.335674
2025-09-07 NaN 0.011096 0.186661 0.615520 1.313250 2.258603 3.535415
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005002 0.168032 0.605567 1.337046 2.340719 3.706385
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001110 0.146996 0.588183 1.348814 2.406939 3.858151
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000719 0.152429 0.623596 1.441089 2.581469 4.147965
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000590 0.161182 0.666030 1.544456 2.771349 4.457865
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000365 0.167225 0.702754 1.639018 2.949390 4.752760
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000760 0.186547 0.767703 1.777729 3.187719 5.125372
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000620 0.194971 0.809679 1.880769 3.377669 5.436059
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000046 0.186804 0.816041 1.928112 3.491760 5.649324
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.154900 0.767362 1.887187 3.484125 5.705014
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.123119 0.712112 1.832351 3.455098 5.731238
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.107881 0.692892 1.834015 3.503024 5.856174